Friday, December 7, 2012

e-IR: Canada – Latin America Relations: Ottawa’s Struggle to Emerge From the Hemispheric Shadow


Canada - Latin America Relations: Ottawa's Struggle to Emerge from the Hemispheric Shadow
W. Alejandro Sanchez & Trent Boultinghouse
e-International Relations
December 7, 2012
Originally published: http://bit.ly/XzDm26

When Stephen Harper assumed his position as Canada’s Prime Minister in 2006, those in tune with Canadian politics had already deemed him noteworthy simply for leading the Conservative Party, a center-right coalition whose policies had traditionally been in opposition to Canada’s historically liberal political tradition. Outside the perimeters of his predilections, however, Harper’s foreign policy initiatives towards Latin America and the Caribbean (LAC) have drawn upon a chapter of Canadian history that has continuously balanced an unabridged embrace of Latin America’s affairs between the wishes of its neighbor, the United States.
Today, a series of changing power structures in the hemisphere has placed Harper and his government into a crucial juncture for determining how Canada’s economic interests will be rooted in the region for the decades to come. Long behind the shadow of the liberalized economic wishes of the United States, Canada suddenly has found itself in a position to embrace its own sovereign trade initiatives with its hemispheric neighbors, although it has embraced this spotlight somewhat reluctantly in what could easily be described as too little, too late. One could argue that Canada’s current dilemma is to try and develop a comprehensive LAC strategy at a time when the liberalized trading policies of its primary trading partner, the United States, have fallen out of favor with more protectionist LAC economies in the region.
John Diefenbaker and the Precedent for Hemispheric Tentativeness
It is an understatement to say that Canada’s relationship with Latin America and the Caribbean has been complex. Indeed, the “other North American country” has struggled to differentiate its own foreign policy towards Latin America apart from the stances of the United States, a dichotomy that troubled the administration of Canadian Prime Minister John Diefenbaker (1957-1963), who served as one of Canada’s most vocal proponents of increased Latin American relations in the previous century. Diefenbaker’s term provides an interesting case study in the history of Canadian–LAC relations, for it came during the tensioned decade of Cold War sentiment sweeping across the hemisphere. The prime minister consistently deferred Canadian membership in the Organization of American States (OAS) until beyond his term. While certainly not as relevant in 2012 than the 1960s, membership to the OAS was seen by many Latin American governments of the day as the most tangible expression of diplomatic relations between the two parties, and fears of acquiescing to the White House’s diplomatic crusade against communism, starting with Washington’s October 1960 economic blockade against Cuba, set Canada back in the final decades of the 20thcentury.
Against the wishes of then-American President John F. Kennedy, Canada continued to maintain economic relations with Cuba, seeing no need to adhere itself to what many interpreted as a reactionary, if not misguided, interventionist strategy with its louder neighbor. Here, Diefenbaker once again resisted pressure by President Kennedy to join the OAS, as part of the grand scheme of his Alliance for Progress. One academic opines that Diefenbaker,  “was concerned about the level of commitment that would be required of his country.” Moreover, the Canadian statesman’s, “interest in Latin America came at an unfortunate point when the region was facing deep social and political unrest and was coming to the fore as a Cold War battleground.”[1] Canada achieved Permanent Membership status in the OAS in 1973 and did not become a full member until 1990.[2]
A Modern, but Tardy Hemispherical Embrace
Apart from economic interests, or maybe because of them, Ottawa has cultivated an undeniably budding presence in Latin American political developments beginning with its negotiations in the North American Free Trade Agreement in 1992. This involvement has ranged from stepped up Canadian private sector activity in the region to a continuous flow of political rhetoric, as evidenced by Ottawa’s less-than-timely reaction to the 2009 coup d’etat in Honduras.
What is clear is that Canada has used its economic potential to drive its relations for increased trade and development throughout the region. According to a 2011 article in the Journal of the Society for Latin American Studies, “whether led by Liberal or Conservative governments, the state has aggressively sought to position Canadian capital as a major economic player in Latin America since the 1990s.”[3] Amidst its efforts to increase trade with traditional giants such as Brazil and Mexico, for example, Canada has also held a historically special relationship with the islands of the Caribbean, which are parts of the British Commonwealth, like Ottawa.
For example, one obscure relationship is Canada’s ties with Barbados. A country profile in the government of Canada’s official website proudly describes Canada’s 1907 opening of a trade office in Barbados, which has helped banks such as the Canadian Imperial Bank of Canada and the Bank of Nova Scotia to establish a rooted presence in that country.[4]
In addition, since the end of the 1980s, Canada has taken a number of initiatives to increase relations with the Caribbean. Most of these stem from trade measures as well as direct investment. Canada’s Library of Parliament published a report in August 2011 which discussed trade relations between Canada and the Caribbean Community (CARICOM). The comprehensive report explains that, “in 2010, Canada’s bilateral relations merchandise trade with the CARICOM countries totaled $2.4 billion [USD], consisting in  $0.8 billion [USD] in Canadian exports to, and $1.6 billion [USD] in imports from, the CARICOM countries.” (p. 1). The article goes on to explain that Canada’s most important export products to CARICOM in2010 were ores, slag, and ash, while its major import products were precious metals, jewelry and coins, as well as energy-related products (p. 2). In other words, Canada’s main interests regarding the Caribbean appear to focus on trade growth, a strategy that has been generally successful over the past decades.
Nevertheless, Canada has not stretched this focus to all Caribbean states, which have not continuously increased. A May report in Jamaica’s daily The Gleaner explains that trade between Jamaica and Canada has shrunk in the last four years. To remedy this situation, Canadian companies such as Solamon Energy Corporation are looking for energy investments in the Caribbean island.  The article explains that SEC was in discussions the construction of a solar power plant, while another, “energy company is said to exploring the supply of compressed natural gas (CNG) to Jamaica.”  Also, a Barbadian trade mission, sponsored by the Barbados Chamber of Commerce and Industry (BCCI), visited Canada this past September. The President of the BCCI stated that the organization aims to create bridges for Barbadian companies to showcase their products and services including tourism.
Arms Sales and Security Relations
While Canada is not particularly known for its arms sales, it does have a thriving military industry. According to a March 2011 report in CBC News, “between 2007 and 2009, Canadian companies exported about $1.4-billion [USD] in arms with the United Kingdom, Australia and Saudi Arabia topping the list of buyers.” Interestingly, no Latin American country ranks between the top 10 Canadian arms importers. According to public data by the Canadian Department of Foreign Affairs and International Trade, arms exports by Latin American states summed up to generally low amounts. For example, Brazil imported $685,278 USD worth of military equipment in 2007, but jumped to $15,790,600 USD in 2009. Meanwhile, Colombia imported over $7 million USD in 2009 while Peru barely imported over $1 million USD.
Meanwhile, the Stockholm International Peace Research Institute (SIPRI) provides more in-depth data about the type of military equipment being sold to Latin America. According to SIPRI’s Arms Transfers Database, countries like Argentina, Brazil, and Ecuador have mostly been importing turboprops from Canada in recent years for warplane repair. In addition, Peru has purchased a number of Twin Otter transport aircraft from Ottawa while the Dominican Republic has obtained several light helicopters.
Finally, it is important to highlight that security relations do not just occur thanks to arms sales. In fact, Canada has strived to increase friendly military initiatives with Western Hemisphere nations besides the United States. For example, the Canadian frigate HMCS Regina visited Peru in September 2007. Moreover, according to a statement in the official website of the National Defense and the Canadian Forces, “Argentina, Brazil and Chile are the focus of most defence relation activity in South America, where we have correspondingly stronger political and commercial ties.”
 Diplomatic Trips
In order to increase trade and political relations, in recent years it has become standard almost for Canadian government officials to visit Latin American and Caribbean states. For example, in August 2010, Peter van Loan, then-Minister of International Trade, did a five-nation tour of the region, which included Chile, Argentina, Colombia, and Costa Rica.[5] More recently, Ed Fast, the new international trade minister, visited Colombia, Peru, Chile and Mexico from April 11-20 . Fast took the opportunity while in Lima and Bogota to highlight the benefits of the free trade agreements that Ottawa signed with both countries (in 2009 and 2011 respectively).[6] At the end of the tour, Fast stated that:
“Preferred access to fast-growing markets around the world like those found in Latin America gives Canadian businesses and workers a competitive edge.”[7]
Moreover, Prime Minister Stephen Harper carried out a four-nation tour in August 2011, which took him to Brazil, Colombia, Costa Rica, and Honduras. Harper’s visit to Brasilia was to arguably repair ties between the two countries as they had, “become rocky in past years, especially amid disputes over government subsidies for Brazil’s Embraer aerospace conglomerate and Canada’s Bombardier, Inc. aircraft manufacturer.”[8]At the time, a report by the Canadian Press explained that:
“The Conservative government is eager to make inroads with Brazil in particular, the world’s seventh-largest economy and expected to rise to No. 5 within a few years. But doing a deal with Brazil is tricky. Brazil needs the consent of Argentina, Paraguay and Uruguay – members of a common South American economic bloc called Mercosur – to enter into such an agreement.”[9]
Harper’s official government website stressed the success of his 2011 Latin American tour, highlighting that over 20 initiatives were signed. Some of them included an agreement to open three new Visa Application centers with Brazil, Colombia’s accession to Canada’s Military Training and Cooperation Program and a Canadian declaration to “support to help address regional security challenges in Central America, including Honduras.”[10]
Controversies: from Cuba to The Honduras Coup
In spite of mostly trade initiatives, Canada has been involved in a number of controversial issues regarding the Western Hemisphere. One immediately thinks of how Ottawa has maintained relations with the Cuban government instead of joining Washington’s embargo on the island. Outside of this, a May 2012 op-ed by Peter McKenna, a Canadian academic, explains that “[Canada] need[s] to jettison the ideologically tinged rhetoric of [its current conservatives] and focus on positive interaction, co-operative dialogue, and commercial exchange.” The professor also proposes that Foreign Affairs Minister John Baird might be well advised to undertake an official visit to Havana in the coming months, which could set the stage for a prime ministerial visit to Cuba or a visit by a senior-ranking Cuban government official to Canada. In a recent conference held in Washington D.C., a senior Canadian diplomatic official explained that Ottawa regards its continued relations with Havana as a way to assert that, “Canadians are not Americans.” The official went on to explain that Ottawa’s relations with Havana do not signify that it is in favor of the current regime or that it supports its practices, but that the Canadian government is convinced that positive engagement is necessary to bring about change in the island, instead of an embargo.
In addition, Canada has been indirectly involved in another controversy in 2009, when there was a constitutional coup in Honduras that saw President Manuel Zelaya ousted from power. Ottawa has not been accused of promoting or actively supporting the coup, but it has been critiqued due to its passive and neutral stance when the coup occurred. Moreover, after the coup occurred, Ottawa and several Canadian industries jumped at the opportunity to have relations with the new government. A 2010 analysis by the Latin American think tank NACLA argues that, “Canadian government officials never liked nor trusted Zelaya. Although they did not break ranks with the Latin American countries and the rest of the international community calling for his restitution, they were privately relieved that he was not restored to power.”[11]
Analysis
Perhaps augmenting the problem for Canada first is the rise of regionalism and protectionism correlating with the current permeation of left-of-center governments in Latin America.
Thus, the Canadian private sector has largely spurred the diaspora of Canadian dollars into the southern part of the hemisphere, largely on the drivers of extractive natural resource projects like mining and oil production. Yet, these industries are hardly sustainable initiatives for a new Ottawa-LAC relationship primer. For starters, many resource-rich regions such as Bolivia’s Salar de Uyuni, for example, have a selective history of which foreign multinationals are allowed to enter the country and invest in valuable natural resources. This is an issue that is especially amplified given that much of Latin America lacks sufficient central regulatory bodies. Inevitably, these claims gave rise to legitimate concerns about pollution and environmental damage on the part of the companies.
In addition, while there have been government and private sector initiatives in the region, research and educational studies in Canada regarding Latin America have been slow to emerge. For example, Canada’s lone think tank on Latin America, the Canadian Foundation for the Americas, closed its doors in 2011, after operating since 1990.[12] Thankfully, Canadian institutes for higher learning have increased their interest in the rest of the continent in recent years, exemplified by York University’s Center for Research on Latin America and the Caribbean. Here, the university’s researchers have carried out studies on provocative subjects like land rights in Ecuador and the marginalization of women in Brazil, in addition to an analysis of Uruguayan governance.[13]
How can the Relationship Improve?
Trade between Canada with Latin American and Caribbean states is only expected to grow in the coming years, especially as Ottawa has decreased its exports to the United States ever since 2005. .. However, is this enough? While there have been a number of diplomatic initiatives, including high level trips by Prime Minister Harper to the region, Ottawa does not appear to have a comprehensive strategy or doctrine when it comes to dealing with the region in the vein of what Washington has developed over the centuries (such as the Monroe Doctrine, Roosevelt’s Good Neighbor Policy, or JFK’s Alliance for Progress come to mind).
As other studies and ongoing media reports have clearly shown, Latin America and the Caribbean have increased their political and commercial ties with a variety of regions of the world. Besides major markets like China and the European Union, LAC states have also approached previously unknown regions, such as the Middle East. A major example of this is this year’s conference between South American and Arab states that took place in Lima, Peru.[14] South Korea recently held a seven-day convention called “Korea-Latin America Economic Cooperation Week” to celebrate 50 years of ties between the Asian state with LAC.[15]
Given the billions of dollars in potential trade, and coupled with Washington’s current focus elsewhere in the world, Ottawa would be well advised to develop a comprehensive doctrine or strategy with regards to its relations with the rest of the Western Hemisphere. Whether the Harper administration can continue to forge an inroad that avoids traditional hiccups of past measures remains to be seen. Yet, a Canadian official expressed his doubt in the doctrine’s materialization recently with these authors. In a somewhat cynical contention, the diplomat revealed that, “[he doesn’t] think Canadian attention to the Americas will reach 1990s or 2000s levels for quite some time.”
—
W. Alex Sanchez is a Research Fellow at the Council on Hemispheric Affairs (COHA), where he focuses on geopolitics, military and cyber security issues. He regularly appears in different media outlets like Al Jazeera, VOXXI, BBC, El Comercio (Peru), New Internationalist, among others. His analyses have appeared in numerous refereed journals including Small Wars and Insurgencies, Defence Studies, the Journal of Slavic Military Studies, European Security, Studies in Conflict and Terrorism and Cuban Affairs. Follow Alex on Twitter here.
Trent Boultinghouse is a recent graduate of the University of Kansas and currently serves as a Research Associate at the Council on Hemispheric Affairs (COHA), where he focuses on Latin American corruption, governmental structures, and elections. His articles have been published in a variety of different platforms, including MercoPress, The Eurasia Review, The Costa Rica Star, The Washington Report on the Hemisphere, and the University of Kansas’s PoliticalFiber.com political report. In addition, he has appeared on Jamaican radio, Press TV, and other mediums to offer commentary on electoral systems in the United States and Venezuela.  Follow Trent on Twitter here.


[1]AsaMcKercher. “Southern Exposure: Diefenbaker, Latin America and the Organization of American States.” The Canadian Historical Review.Vol.93 / No. 1. March 2012. P. 80.
[2]The Organization of American States. Foreign Affairs and International Trade Canada. International Organizations.  Available:http://www.international.gc.ca/americas-ameriques/oas-oea/index.aspx?view=d
[3]Todd Gordon & Jeffery Webber. “Canada and the Honduran Coup.” Journal of the Society for Latin American Studies.Vol.30/ No. 3.2011. P. 329.
[4]The article also explains that Canadian security agencies such as the Royal Canadian Mounted Police, Canada Border Security Agency and the Department of National Defense have provided technical assistance to the island.
[11] Cameron, Maxwell &Tockman, Jason. “A Diplomatic Theater of the Absurd: Canada, the OAS, and the Honduran Coup.” NACLA Report on the Americas. Report: Canada. May/June 2010. P. 19. Also read Todd Gordon & Jeffery Webber. “Canada and the Honduran Coup.” Journal of the Society for Latin American Studies.Vol.30/ No. 3.2011.
[12]http://www.focal.ca/
[13]http://www.yorku.ca/cerlac/publications.htm#working

Thursday, December 6, 2012

VOXXI: Alberto Fujimori: A possible pardon for imprisoned dictator in Peru

Alberto Fujimori: A possible pardon for imprisoned dictator in Peru
W. Alejandro Sanchez
VOXXI
November 16, 2012
Originally published: http://bit.ly/UIKBSD


Despite numerous atrocities and crimes committed during his decade in power, imprisoned Peruvian dictator Alberto Fujimori (1990-2000) may receive a presidential pardon due to his allegedly failing health. In the past months, political parties allied with Fujimori and his family have pressured Peruvian President Ollanta Humala into pardoning the imprisoned former head of state. However, victims who suffered Fujimori’s cruelty while he was in power, along with the majority of the general population, want the former dictator to remain in jail. Should Fujimori’s health continue to deteriorate, Humala will likely face growing pressure from Fujimori’s allies to grant him a pardon. One can only hope that, in respect to the numerous victims of Fujimori’s brutal rule the current president will not succumb to pressure that would allow for the release of the former dictator.

A brief history: Alberto Fujimori

Alberto Fujimori’s decade in power was rife with criminal operations, from alleged bribery practices to the creation of paramilitary death squads. The head of state carried out an auto-coup in April of 1992, in which he dissolved the national congress and called for new elections for a national assembly. Unsurprisingly, the national assembly was full of pro-Fujimori congressmen who drafted a new constitution in 1993, which allowed for direct presidential reelections. Consequently, Fujimori was re-elected into office in 1995 and 2000. Fortunately, video footage that showed intelligence chief Vladimiro Montesinos, (a close ally of Fujimori) bribing a congressman was made public in 2000. This revelation prompted the downfall of his dictatorship (he memorably renounced the presidency via fax while on a trip to Asia). Fujimori would eventually be arrested in 2005 during a trip to Chile and subsequently extradited to Peru to be tried in 2007.
After a two-year trial, the dictator was sentenced to 25 years in prison for his participation in the massacre of La Cantuta and the massacre of Barrios Altos, in which he ordered death squads to carry out mass executions. He has currently spent three years behind bars in a special prison known as Establecimiento Penal Barbadillo, located in a police base (DIROES), which was specifically designed for him.
Nevertheless, his time in prison has not been the painful experience that many Peruvians may have longed for. The Peruvian media has published videos and photographs that portray Fujimori enjoying an extravagant and relaxed lifestyle behind bars. His personal cell reportedly measures 800 square meters, which includes a kitchen, a room with a 21-inch television, and painting materials for him to use at his leisure.

The possibility of a pardon

Recent media reports and allegations by Alberto Fujimori’s family hint that the former dictator may have developed tongue cancer. Pictures have appeared of Fujimori’s tongue, supposedly showing the growing cancer. However, doctors disagree on the extent of his illness and how much time he has left to live; while many are questioning whether the dictator’s illness exists at all.
In response to the diagnosis, Fujimori’s family and political allies have pressured the current Peruvian president to release Fujimori. Perhaps it is not surprising that Fujimori’s daughter, Keiko Fujimori, has been one of the most prominent supporters of his release. In addition to being a former congresswoman and the leader of the political movement Fuerza 2011, she also ran for Peruvian presidency in 2011 and was only narrowly defeated by Humala. During the campaign, she was forced to promise that if she were elected, she would not pardon her father under any condition. However, this promise appears to only have been a political ploy to win her the presidency. After losing the election, she is now putting pressure on Humala to pardon her father as some kind of humanitarian gesture. Humala has been placed in a difficult position as several op-eds and media declarations have appeared, discussing whether or not Fujimori should be pardoned. The Peruvian president has yet to declare his stance on this issue.

Does Alberto Fujimori deserve a pardon?

A Fujimori pardon would be calamitous. The arguable severity of Fujimori’s health aside, his atrocious crimes oblige him to complete his sentence. Recently, the former dictator painted a self-portrait in which he had inscribed the words “I am sorry”, though he does not actually acknowledge having done anything wrong during his brutal dictatorship. Nevertheless, his three years in jail have not been served under particularly harsh conditions, and a semi-apologetic self-portrait is hardly sufficient restitution for his decade-long crimes, especially as there are several alleged crimes for which he was not prosecuted. For example, the victims of a forced sterilization campaign under Fujimori, one of the crimes he hasn’t been put on trial for, have come out to protest against the dictator’s possible release. Other sectors of the population have also shown their disapproval: in October, hundreds protested in Lima against a possible pardon.
It is noteworthy to highlight that the Peruvian dictator is not the only former head of state currently convicted of crimes, and whose health has become a factor in carrying out a prison sentence. Health issues have stirred debates in regards to the incarceration of other deposed leaders, such as General Manuel Noriega in Panama, and Hosni Mubarak in Egypt.
Alberto Fujimori was a cruel dictator who dragged Peru’s population through a decade of pain and suffering. Whatever positive economic and security initiatives may have been carried out throughout his presidency do not outweigh his transgressions—which include the violation of the country’s constitution, bribe scandals of political opponents, control of the national media via intimidation and bribery, and numerous human rights violations. If the Montesinos videos had not been made public, Fujimori and his allies would have attempted to unconstitutionally perpetuate themselves to power.
Although Alberto Fujimori was never prosecuted for all his alleged crimes, it does not necessarily mean that he did not commit them. Various Latin American experts, along with the Peruvian population that suffered during his rule, are keenly aware of Fujimori’s crimes—prosecuted or otherwise. In a positive development, a new trial has been ordered for the deposed dictator for “misappropriating nearly $50 million in public funds to bankroll a group of tabloids.” Hopefully, President Humala will not allow himself to be coerced into letting one of Latin America’s worst human rights violators go free.


Read more: http://www.voxxi.com/alberto-fujimori-possible-pardon-peru/#ixzz2EJcuuYSG

COHA: Violent Threads: From Routine Murder to High Fashion




Violent Threads: From Routine Murder to High Fashion
W. Alex Sanchez
Council on Hemispheric Affairs
December 6, 2012
Originally published: http://www.coha.org/violent-threads/

Pablo Escobar gained notoriety throughout the 1980s as the most powerful leader of the Medellin Cartel in Colombia.1 His influence and brutality can be effectively contrasted with today’s infamous Mexican outlaw, Joaquin “El Chapo” Guzman, the leader of the Sinaloa Cartel. The Colombian drug lord’s reign came to a violent end in 1993 when he was shot to death during a police raid.  Today, almost 20 years after his death, Escobar’s son, Juan Pablo (who has now changed his name to Sebastian Marroquin), has launched a clothing line that includes t-shirts with photomontages of his infamous father. The son’s decision to make a profit out of his father’s violent and extravagant life has to be placed in a wider context of how Latin American society remembers the region’s violent period and the drug-generated celebrities of the 1960s to the mid 1990s that soaked the land with their blood. Such a discussion would necessarily have to include an inventory of the iconic characters that illuminated the period and gave it such infamy.
Escobar and Guevara Presente
At its most garish moments, clothing lines that immortalize individuals from Latin America’s tawdry epoch (such as the Argentine revolutionary Ernesto “Che” Guevara to the aforementioned Escobar) are one of the ways the region remembers how to celebrate its most notorious figures, and can profit from an unremittingly and profitable past. Other venues, through which the criminal, but glamorous, lives from that period are addressed, include the production of movies and soap operas.  The proper way to remember the period’s operatic past becomes a contemporary issue as new generations of Latin Americans grow up thrilled by these famous names but without having experienced the atrocities that made their ancestors household names. This is all the more reason why a properly balanced education makes this controversial history so necessary and compelling.
Violent Fashion
Clothes with pictures of iconic Latin American figures have become commonplace today. Perhaps the best-known example invokes the image of Ernesto Guevara, the Argentine revolutionary and a critical figure of the Latin American Cold War era that had his visage stamped on t-shirts and billboards (astride his motorcycle, on his way to some rendezvous with his fellow revolutionaries) for decades. Ironically, while the Argentine folk hero struggled to fight capitalism throughout the hemisphere for years (he spent some time fighting in Angola as well) capitalist entrepreneurs have been quick to profit from his image and his fiercely anti-capitalist persona. For example, the Che Guevara online Store (www.thechestore.com), has vended dozens of items with Guevara’s haunting face (ranging from t-shirts, headwear, personal bags to even Guevara bobble heads). Furthermore, his life, leading up to the advancement of the revolution, was portrayed in the major 2004 motion picture called Diarios de Motocicleta.2 Guevara also evolved into being a prolific writer as he wrote numerous essays where he explained his ideology. Arguably contributing to his notoriety is the 1998 book Guerrilla Warfare, represents a compilation of some of his major communiqués.3
A more recent example of “violent threads,” is the aforementioned launch, by the son of Pablo Escobar, of a clothing line designed to honor his father, called Poder Poder (Power Power).4 The clothes that are being manufactured today include t-shirts with Escobar’s birth certificate and credit cards, along with photos depicting various stages of his life. One of the t-shirts even has the image of Escobar’s arrest warrant. The clothes are already available for purchase in several countries, including Spain and Guatemala.
It is worth mentioning that the Mexican drug cartels have yet to find occasion to jumpstart any self-promoting clothing lines. On the other hand, it has become increasingly usual for the members of cartels to place their organization’s logos onto different types of clothing and accessories. The El Paso Intelligence Center, which publishes unclassified reports of information recollected from a variety of security agencies such as the DEA and the Department of Homeland Security, published on January 2011 a report entitled, “Language of the Cartels: Narco Terminology, Identifiers, and Clothing Style,” that increasingly addresses the growing popularity and usage of the cartels’ logos.5 For example, regarding the infamous Zetas cartel, the report explains that:
[The] Zetas logo indicated their previous alliance to the Gulf Cartel; however, the Zetas are now currently using the Ferrari logo, as well. These symbols are not only seen on their vehicles, but also on their key chains, and on their clothing, as these logos are being placed on leather jackets and jewelry. In the wing of the “Hecho En Tamaulipas” logo, there will be a “Z” for Zetas.6
Remembering the Past?
How Latin American governments cope with their violent past, while simultaneously teaching new generations about these legacies, is an issue that is sure to grow in importance in the coming years. Whether it is past discussions regarding the ideological war between Washington and Moscow that generates proxy wars across the Western Hemisphere or expanding upon the legacies of a controversial individual like Pablo Escobar (who made a personal fortune and created an aura around himself thanks to his involvement in drug trafficking) the question will be: how will the region remember its recent and characteristically brutal history?  As previously mentioned, the Argentine insurgent leader Che Guevara has become a world icon and has become immortalized on t-shirts as well as wall paintings around the world. His popularity has been cemented on walls at home and abroad, as well as by his numerous public manifestations.7
Therefore another question that must be asked regarding the fate of the Colombian drug lord is whether he will be remembered in a dramatically similar way to how Guevara has been so heroically remembered. Factors that would aid this unwanted development include the Poder Poder clothing line and the controversial initiatives the Colombian drug lord carried out in poor communities in his native region of Antioquia. These projects included the construction of roads, as well as sports facilities, due to their connection with his hometown, in order to promote a positive image of himself while he was alive.
Nevertheless, it is critical to remember that “El Doctor,” as Escobar was also known, became infamous for the violent actions he took against his opponents as well as against innocent bystanders. While he wanted to portray himself to the public as some kind of Colombian Robin Hood or Emiliano Zapata, he instilled a reign of terror throughout the country in the 1980s. The question can be asked: should people really be wearing the clothes that will financially reward his son and immortalize his father, arguably in a positive way?  The crimes resulting from Escobar’s orders have been well documented and are universally known throughout Latin America. For example, the author of this commentary has been interviewed for an upcoming documentary entitled Uncensored, which discusses the violence that Colombian journalists chronically faced throughout the 1980s at the hands of criminal organizations, such as Escobar’s Medellin Cartel.8
However, new generations of Colombians are presently growing up without having suffered the milieu of Escobar-authored terrorist car bombs or reading about the assassination of politicians, police officers and journalists that occurred as a result of his orders. In regards to the generally positive image that the t-shirts have generated in respect to Guevara, it is debatable to what extent the Escobar legacy will be affected in the coming years as this apparel is circulated. Upon announcing the creation of the Escobar clothing line, his son explained that the clothes are “an auto criticism of my father’s history, and an invitation for the youth to be conscious of the dangers of entering the drug and drug trafficking world.”9
As previously mentioned, it is important to highlight that besides the recently introduced clothing lines and movies, there is a new popular way of portraying the narco/criminal life via exciting telenovelas (soap operas). For example, several Colombian novelas deal with the drug life, including “El Capo,” “Las Muñecas de la Mafia” and “Sin Tetas No Hay Paraiso.” Such productions have also come under scrutiny as they humanize – even glamorize – the narco life under a light of glamour that might make the violent organization appealing to young viewers.  Interestingly, the Latin TV station Telemundo has launched a soap opera entitled, “Pablo Escobar: El Patron del Mal” (Pablo Escobar: The Lord of Evil), which portrays the Colombian drug lord’s life.10
While freedom of expression should be supported and protected, it is a tragic development that a systematic murderer and assassin like Escobar has the potential to be immortalized, or remembered in any positive way, considering the loathsome actions he carried out throughout his life.  It is this kind of educational and social dilemma that several regional countries have generated and will likely continue to do so for decades to come.
Conclusions
How the average citizen of Latin America remembers the region’s violent past will become an increasingly important point of examination in the coming years. In regards to clothing lines, carrying the likes of the emblematic garbs of Che Guevara and Pablo Escobar throughout trade shops in the hemisphere, it is debatable to what extent these businesses, besides making a prodigious profit, are also promoting a positive image of the individuals they portray. In Guevara’s case, the combination of the publication of his memoirs, the 2004 biopic, and his camisetas have immortalized him as a positive, yet perhaps overrated, towering figure of the Cold War. According to some Latin American experts, Guevara is an irrelevant, romantic and colorful, if misguided, figure of the Cold War, whose commitment to the revolution has been based on geopolitical farrago and advancing pathological causes via extreme violence. Nevertheless, decades after his death in the Bolivian jungle, he remains a positive symbol for new generations.  It is still too early to tell if a similar development will occur with Pablo Escobar, which makes it even more important for the Colombian government to educate its youth regarding the country’s recent history, including the plethora of bloody deeds carried out by Escobar and his Medellín Cartel.
Despite ongoing elevated levels of violence in Mexico with the drug cartels, the Mara gangs in Central America and narco-terrorism in Peru and Colombia, an optimist could say that, hopefully, the region has managed to slowly turn a page regarding its violent past. Hopefully, we won’t see any more dirty wars, military dictatorships, or massacres, though this may just be wishful thinking. In any case, after having survived a particularly dark chapter of its history, Latin America can today better deal with addressing its often shameful past and how the region’s youth should be educated, including comprehending the significance of wearing a Guevara or Escobar t-shirt in some steamy last-chance hotel.

W. Alex Sanchez, Research Fellow at the Council on Hemispheric Affairs
Please accept this article as a free contribution from COHA, but if re-posting, please afford authorial and institutional attribution.

1 For a good history of Escobar’s life, see: Bowden, Mark. Killing Pablo: The Hunt for the World’s Greatest Outlaw. Penguin Books. April 2002.
2 The Motorcycle Diaries (Diarios de Motocicleta).FilmFour / BD Cine. 2004. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Motorcycle_Diaries_(film)
3 Ernesto “Che” Guevara (Author) and Mac Brecker (introduction). Guerrilla Warfare. Bilson Books. First Edition. September 1998. http://www.amazon.com/Guerrilla-Warfare-Ernesto-Che-Guevara/dp/0803270755
4 Gamboa, Veronica. “Ropa creada por hijo de Pablo Escobar se vende en Guatemala.” Prensa Libre (Guatemala). September 3, 20 12. http://www.prensalibre.com/noticias/comunitario/Linea-Ropa-Pablo-Escobar-Guatemala-Sebastian_Marroquin-Gaviria-Henao_0_767323423.html
5 EPIC Intelligence Center. Language of the Cartels:  Narco Terminology, Identifiers and Clothing Style. Public Intelligence.net. January 2011. Available: http://publicintelligence.net/ules-lulzsec-release-epic-language-of-the-cartels-narco-terminology-report/
6  EPIC Intelligence Center. Language of the Cartels:  Narco Terminology, Identifiers and Clothing Style. Public Intelligence.net. January 2011. Available: http://publicintelligence.net/ules-lulzsec-release-epic-language-of-the-cartels-narco-terminology-report/  P.2
7 Guevara addresses the United Nations in 1961. Video http://www.youtube.com/watch_popup?v=bufHojkoGtw
8 Uncensored. Website. Available: http://uncensoredthedoc.com/
9 “Presenta hijo de Pablo Escobar line de ropa inspirada en su padre.” Animal Politico. August 30, 2012.  Available: http://www.animalpolitico.com/2012/08/presenta-hijo-de-pablo-escobar-linea-de-ropa-inspirada-en-su-padre/#axzz2D9r9Kh5B
10 Pablo Escobar: El Patron the Mal. Website. Telemundo. Available: http://msnlatino.telemundo.com/novelas/El_Patron_del_Mal/

VOXXI: The rise of Latin America, a response to Foreign Policy’s Ruchir Sharma


The Rise of Latin America - a response to Foreign Policy's Ruchir Sharma
W. Alejandro Sanchez
VOXXI
December 5, 2012
Originally published: http://bit.ly/TIpdfp


In a December article published by Foreign Policy, Ruchir Sharma, head of emerging-market equities and global macroeconomics at Morgan Stanley Investment Management, names seven countries as “breakout nations.” He argues that these states have experienced more major economic growth in recent years than the BRIC nations (Brazil, Russia, India, China) and therefore should receive particular attention from the international community. For Sharma, the nations to watch are the Philippines, Turkey, Indonesia, Thailand, Poland, Sri Lanka and Nigeria. Experts on Latin America will quickly notice that there is not one Latin America nation on Sharma’s list.
Everyone is entitled to their opinion and there is no requirement that a list of breakout economies must include a nation from each region of the world. Sharma also doesn’t mention any country from the Caribbean, Oceania, or the Middle East. Nevertheless, several Latin American nations, such as Peru, Mexico, Chile, and Colombia, have enjoyed major economic growth within the past decade, comparable to some of Sharma’s nations, and they deserve to be mentioned for the sake of a comprehensive picture of emerging economic powers.

Growing and growing

Over the past decade, Latin American nations have experienced significant economic growth, with the four aforementioned states serving as the region’s own “breakout nations” (although they are each, to some extent, eclipsed by booming Brazil). For example, Colombia’s economy grew by 4.9 percent in 2012’s second trimester in comparison to the same period in 2011. The sectors that enjoyed the most growth were construction, mining and finance. In addition, the U.S. Congress ratified a free trade agreement with Colombia in October 2011 which will further promote a favorable economic relationship between the two nations. Meanwhile, Peru’s economy grew by 6.5 percent in 2012’s third trimester, in large part thanks to manufacturing and agricultural production. Stability within this Andean nation has also translated into an increase in international tourism, a critical source of revenue for small businesses in tourist regions like Cuzco. Chile continues to have South America’s strongest economy, with an average annual growth rate of 5.2 percent. Finally, Mexico has enjoyed a developing economy as well; according to CEPAL it will grow 4.0 percent in 2013 thanks to improvements in the U.S., its vital trade partner. Some optimistic analysts predict that Mexico could surpass the Brazilian economy by 2022. Just like Ruchir Sharma highlights how countries like Indonesia and Turkey will become trillion-dollar economies, the economic growth of states like Mexico—home to the world’s richest man, Carlos Slim—is a positive development, demonstrating that there are economic powerhouses in the region other than Brazil.
Latin America’s growth has also translated into strengthening trade relations with extra-hemispheric nations, which see the potential for successful investment in the region. For example, Colombian minister Diaz-Granados recently explained that trade between Colombia and Spain surpassed $2 billion, a significant growth compared to 2011. In addition, both Colombia and Peru are also close to signing a free trade agreement with the European Union. Finally, commerce with Asian states is expected to grow as Peru and Chile, along with the U.S., are part of the Trans Pacific Partnership (TPP), a project currently in the negotiation stage that aims to strengthen trade relations between the major Pacific economies. Extra-hemispheric nations that are also TPP members include economic powerhouses like Singapore, New Zealand and Australia. Regarding Latin America, more investments and external trade is generally regarded as a sign that the region in general has become an attractive commercial partner.

Ruchir Sharma and security issues

One topic that is not deeply discussed in Sharma’s commentary is security, although he does acknowledge, when talking about Sri Lanka, that violence affects an economy’s performance. Sadly, several of Sharma’s nations as well as Latin American states continue to face security issues that may hinder their growth in the coming years. For example, the Mexican government and security forces have battled powerful drug-funded organizations such as the Zetas and the Sinaloa Cartels for years. Apart from the thousands of lives that have been lost in this drug war, many in gruesome manners, there is concern than the Mexican economy has become somewhat dependent on the millions made from the illegal drug economy. Meanwhile, the Colombian government is currently in negotiations with the FARC guerrilla movement to end a conflict that has lasted for decades. Similarly, the Peruvian government continues to battle drug trafficking (the U.S. government claims Peru is now the world’s major cocaine producer, not Colombia) as well as the last remnants of the Shining Path terrorist organization. Chile is the only country that has not had to face violent domestic movements, though the government has faced major protests by dissatisfied sections of the population, such as secondary and university students, in recent years.
However, the security issues faced by these Latin American states are similar to most of those on Sharma’s list. For example, Turkey has waged a war against the PKK, a violent Kurdish nationalist organization, for years. The Turkish economy may suffer if Ankara becomes more embroiled in the Syrian civil war. Meanwhile, Nigeria continues to suffer from corrupt leaders—as Sharma highlights—and violence, particularly from a group known as Boko Haram, which has waged war against the government since 2009. On December 2, 10 Christians were killed in Northeast Nigeria at the hands of Boko Haram in the latest security incident. Put simply: Sharma’s rising stars and several Latin American states face similar internal security threats. Even Thailand, usually regarded as a stable nation, has seen a rise in insurgency in recent years (as Sharma points out as well). The one stable country in Sharma’s list is Poland, which does not face insurgent internal violence.

The Latino breakout nations

Ruchir Sharma’s list of breakout nations in Foreign Policy, while generally comprehensive, is incomplete. In spite of internal security issues and other problems like corruption scandals and environmental problems, countries like Mexico, Peru, Colombia and Chile have flourished, particularly during the past decade. The fact that Lima, Mexico City and Bogota in particular, have managed to thrive in spite of guerrilla movements and drug-related violence is nothing short of remarkable. Hence, these nations are worthy of any list that has the title “breakout nations.”


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