Showing posts with label usfp. Show all posts
Showing posts with label usfp. Show all posts

Monday, December 14, 2015

Blouin Beat: Are Argentine-U.S. relations on the mend?


"Are Argentine-U.S. Relations on the Mend?"
W. Alejandro Sanchez
Blouin News: World
December 4, 2015
Originally published: http://blouinnews.com/84679/story/are-argentine-us-relations-mend

Argentina is about to enter a new era. President-elect Mauricio Macri will assume power this December 10, putting an end to twelve years of Kirchner rule. And foreign policy analysts, myself included, are wondering about both Macri’s foreign policy towards the rest of Latin America and as the future of U.S.-Argentina relations. In an interesting development, the U.S. Congress approved the sale of four Bell helicopters to Argentina this past month. While the sale will not transform the South American nation into a regional military power, it can be viewed as a sign of good faith between the two governments and perhaps an early example of things to come under Macri.
According to a November 18 press release by the Defense Security Cooperation Agency (the branch of the U.S. Department of Defense that deals with weapons sales), the sale will constitute “four 412EP helicopters and associated equipment, parts and logistical support for an estimated cost of $80 million.” The aircraft will be utilized for search and rescue operations, humanitarian assistance and disaster relief, peacekeeping support, and scientific operations in the Antarctic.
As the press release explains, it is important to note that “the proposed sale … will not alter the basic military balance in the region.” Indeed, the sale in itself is not particularly impressive as the helicopters are not armed. In other words, the aircraft will not alter South American geopolitics, nor will any of Argentina’s neighbors feel threatened by them.
Additionally, the sale is not a sign of things to come, at least no in the sense of future sales of heavier military equipment. One reason is that the Argentine military does not have the budget to procure brand new weapons from any foreign supplier. A quick look at its recent initiatives highlights to what extent Argentina relies on modernizing old equipment or manufacturing its own. Moreover, the country’s air force recently retired its Mirage warplanes, the cornerstone of its air defense. This development is problematic as the air force does not have a replacement for the decades-old warplanes. In other words, we will not see Buenos Aires attempting to buy F-35 warplanes anytime soon.
Meanwhile, the few purchases that have occurred in recent years are designed to carry out basic operations like patrolling. Case in point, the four Russian vessels – they were purchased in 2014 and two of which recently arrived in Argentina – will be utilized for search & rescue operations. Furthermore, even if Argentina had the budget for modern military equipment, the U.S. would not be its main supplier as arming Argentina would be unwelcomed by the United Kingdom due to the dispute between London and Buenos Aires over the Falkland/Malvinas Islands. (Personally, I do not view another war over the islands as a realistic possibility but there are occasional media reports about this scenario).
What the helicopter sale does signify is that we will likely witness a rapprochement between Washington and Buenos Aires once President-elect Macri comes to power. President Cristina Fernandez de Kirchner was well known for having a non-friendly relationship with Washington. For example, former President Nestor Kirchner, the late husband of the current head of state, supported Venezuela’s bid to join MERCOSUR. Meanwhile, President Kirchner has maintained a close friendship with Russian President Vladimir Putin while occasionally critiquing Washington. On the other hand Macri is known for being pro-business and pro-investment, and he will likely look for U.S. money to reboot the country’s economy. In other words, a change of leadership in Buenos Aires is looked upon with happy eyes in Washington.
The helicopter deal, should it indeed come to pass, will likely be the first step towards significantly improving relations between the two extremes of the continent.

Saturday, July 18, 2015

Presentation: "U.S.-Western Hemisphere Relations And The U.S.-Cuba Rapprochement"


"U.S.-Western Hemisphere Relations and the U.S.-Cuba Rapprochement"
W. Alejandro Sanchez
Senior Research Fellow, Council on Hemispheric Affairs

July 15, 2015
American University, Washington Semester Program


Saturday, March 1, 2014

E-IR: Geopolitical Considerations of the NATO-Colombia Cooperation Agreement

 
Geopolitical Considerations of the NATO-Colombia Cooperation Agreement
W. Alejandro Sanchez
E-International Relations
February 28, 2014
Originally published: http://www.e-ir.info/2014/02/28/geopolitical-considerations-of-the-nato-colombia-cooperation-agreement/
In June 2013, the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) and Colombia signed a security cooperation agreement aimed at exchanging intelligence information in order to improve the capabilities on both sides of the Atlantic to face common threats, particularly transnational crime.  This accord was sent to the Colombian Congress in September and, at the time of writing, is still awaiting ratification. It should be noted that this accord has weathered criticism, in particular from several Latin American leaders who regard it as a potential NATO “beachhead” into Latin America. The objective of this article is to place this agreement into the proper context of Latin American geopolitical and geosecurity affairs.
The Agreement
The Security of Information Agreement between Colombia and NATO was signed on June 25, 2013 between NATO Deputy Secretary General Ambassador Alexander Vershbow and Colombia’s Defense Minister Juan Carlos Pinzón Bueno. The goal is to strengthen security relations between the Alliance and the South American nation.
According to media reports, Bogotá will provide the Alliance with its experience in combating drug trafficking and international terrorism, while “Colombia will allegedly receive intelligence information from NATO, as well as gain access to best practices in relation to transparency, humanitarian operations, and strengthening the army.” In September 2013, the Colombian Ministries of Defense and Foreign Affairs sent a bill to the Colombian congress to ratify the Bogotá-NATO accord. The document highlights how “an objective of Colombia is to strengthen cooperation with multilateral organizations and nations […] to guide the future vision of the Colombian armed forces.” Hence, closer relations with NATO are strongly encouraged.
Colombian President Juan Manuel Santos welcomed the NATO agreement stating, “We have had a relationship with NATO for a long time and this will continue.” Deputy Secretary Vershbow has also expressed his support for the agreement, stating, “As an Alliance of democracies, we are gratified when countries sharing similar values reach out to us.” “Colombia’s expertise in enhancing integrity in the military is precisely the kind of substantive contribution that exemplifies the added value of cooperation,” Vershbow added. Similarly, a June 25, 2013, NATO media press release highlighted Colombia’s growing role in NATO initiatives, explaining how the South American nation participated in the 2013 NATO Conference on Building Integrity, which was held in Monterey, California.
Colombia is not the first non-European country with which NATO has established some kind of cooperation. Over the years, the Alliance has signed a variety of different types of accords and partnerships with nations across the globe – for example, recent accords have been signed with Australia, Japan and New Zealand.
This novelty is what makes the Colombian case significant. There have been several bilateral security accords between Latin American and European states, but this is the first time that NATO has signed a security-oriented accord with a Latin American nation. Americas Quarterly explains, “prior to [this] agreement, only two Latin American nations had formally partnered with NATO. Both Argentina and Chile participated in the Stabilization Force in Bosnia-Herzegovina, and Argentina was also involved in the Kosovo Force peacekeeping mission.” It is debatable why it has taken NATO so long to build agreements with Latin American nations like it has with non-Western Hemisphere states. The growth of transnational threats that affect NATO’s European members could warrant more of these initiatives with Latin American states in the near future (we will discuss the reasons for the Bogotá-NATO agreement below).
A June 2013 NATO press release explains, “the Security of Information Agreement does not formally recognise Colombia as a NATO partner but constitutes a first step for future cooperation in the security field.” This is an important fact to keep in mind, as Colombia does not have a “partner” status with the Atlantic Alliance as compared to, for example, Australia. Similarly, this accord should not be taken as a first step towards a potential Colombian application to the Alliance. As several policymakers, such as ColombianDefense Minister Juan Carlos Pinzon, have repeatedly declared, Bogotá cannot apply for NATO membership due to geographical considerations. Moreover, Minister Pinzón has also stressed that the agreement does not allow for the deployment of foreign troops in Colombian territory. This is important to remember as the (unrealistic) possibility of such a development is a source of tension in the region.
Latin American Geopolitics in the 21st Century
As previously stated, the Colombia-NATO cooperation agreement focuses on sharing intelligence and military experiences to combat transnational crimes, and is not a step towards a hypothetical application by Bogotá to the Alliance. Nevertheless, these facts have not stopped detractors from expressing their concern and/or opposition to this agreement. We will first analyze the reasons why certain Latin American governments have declared their opposition to this accord, as well as ongoing military operations by NATO members (i.e. the U.S. and the UK) in Latin America. Finally, we will discuss whether the NATO-Colombia agreement will be beneficial to both parties.
1. Distrust for NATO
Even though it has been repeatedly stated that Colombia cannot become part of the Alliance and NATO troops will not be deployed to South American state, this agreement has a fair number of critics. Specifically, nations like Bolivia, Ecuador, Nicaragua and Venezuela have made declarations that the Brussels-Bogotá accord will make Colombia a “NATO beachhead” within Latin America.
For example, President Nicolás Maduro of Venezuela declared that this agreement represented a “threat to the continent.” Similarly, Defense Minister Ruben Saavedra of Bolivia told the Bolivian newspaper La Razón, “Any presence of NATO in South America or Latin America poses a threat to peace in the region.” Moreover,Defense Minister Maria Fernanda Espinosa of Ecuador explained, “Evidently, it raises concerns […] We are going to start a dialogue […] so we are better informed. We are an integrated, cooperative area in South America, and it is important that we discuss these things.” Even Brazil’s Defense Minister Celso Amorimexpressed concern over the fact that Colombia, a member of the Union of South American Nations, now has a security agreement with an extra-continental military alliance.
Some explanation is necessary to understand why in Latin America, even U.S.-friendly nations remain ambivalent to military ties with nations of the Global North. One reason is that the history of colonialism and neocolonialism by both European powers and the U.S. in the Western Hemisphere still lingers in the minds of Latin American policy makers, military leaders, and society in general. In particular, U.S. military and espionage operations in Latin America throughout the Cold War (and occasionally in the post-Cold War era) have not helped to create a harmonious 21st century of Western Hemisphere relations. Recent accusations of U.S.-sponsored regime-change incidents in the Western Hemisphere include the 2002 (temporary) overthrow of President Hugo Chávez in Venezuela, the 2004 coup against President Jean Bertrand Aristide of Haiti and the 2009 coup in Honduras that toppled President Manuel Zelaya from power.
Moreover, over the past decade, several Latin American leaders have come to power who have challenged Washington’s historical influence in the Western Hemisphere. This is best exemplified by the rise of leaders such as the late Hugo Chávez of Venezuela, current President Nicolás Maduro, President Evo Morales of Bolivia and Rafael Correa of Ecuador. In recent years, these leaders have sought to reduce their nations’ ties with the U.S. (and to a lesser extent, with Europe) and increase security relations with states such as Belarus, China, Iran and Russia. Furthermore, nations that have remained friendly towards NATO, such as Brazil (the ongoing fallout of the espionage program of the National Security Agency notwithstanding) have sought to decrease the influence of the U.S. in Latin America, arguably in order to increase Brazil’s own influence as the region’s powerhouse.
Hence, Colombian relations with NATO are viewed through the prism of skepticism and distrust, accompanied by fear that this could open the door for an unwanted presence by Alliance members in Latin America. A good example of certain governments working towards a decreased presence non-Latin American militaries based in the region occurred in 2009, when Ecuador’s President Correa closed a U.S. military base in Manta, Ecuador. The U.S. continues to have a military presence in the region (i.e. bases in Honduras and El Salvador), and countries with anti-Washington governments like Bolivia, Ecuador or Venezuela do not want to see them expand.
Most importantly, it should be stressed that geography plays an important part of the distrust towards this accord. Opposing countries like Venezuela and Ecuador geographically border Colombia. From the point of view of Caracas and Quito, NATO’s presence in Colombia could be regarded as a potential threat to their national security. This issue is stressed by occasional tensions between Colombia and its neighbors, such as2008 incident over a Colombian military operation in Ecuador.
2. NATO Expands to Latin America
It is interesting to note how long it has taken NATO to increase its ties with Latin America. As Dr. Celia Szusterman, Director of the Institute for Statecraft’s Latin America Programme, wrote in December 2012, “Latin America is currently outside NATO’s area of interest.” After the end of the Cold War, NATO was focused on its Eastern expansion while several of its members became involved in military operations in areas like Afghanistan, Iraq, Kosovo, Libya, and Mali (mostly as part of multinational coalitions).
Nevertheless, NATO states have maintained strong security-related ties with Latin American states. Due to space considerations we will not micro-analyze U.S. security relations with Latin America, but we can say that these include numerous military exercises and multinational operations to combat drug trafficking carried out, mostly, by U.S. Southern Command, as well as a plethora of weapons sales to U.S.-friendly regional states like Colombia and Mexico. However, it is important to highlight that other NATO nations also enjoy strong relations with the region. For example, the British Navy has been deployed to the Caribbean to combat drug trafficking along regional naval forces. This past October 2013, the frigate HMS Lancaster aided in a drug bust. More recently, the U.S. Coast Guard, with the British naval support ship Wave Knight providing backup, captured a speedboat in the Caribbean that hauled £8.5 million worth of cocaine in late February 2014.
Hence, an accord from NATO with a country in Latin America is the natural extension of increased Latin American relations with the European members of the Atlantic alliance. As Szusterman explains, “Whilst there is no question of NATO troops ever being involved in Latin America, this does not mean that there is no role for NATO to play in the region.”  With that said, it should not be forgotten that NATO initiatives in the Western Hemisphere are occurring at a snail’s pace as compared to similar initiatives with other parts of the world.
3. Is the NATO-Colombia Accord necessary?
As a third and final point, it is necessary to place the objectives of the accord itself in a geosecurity context: is the accord necessary? As a Latin Americanist scholar, my opinion is: yes.
Intelligence sharing between Colombia and NATO will help this partnership grow to combat transnational crimes, such as drug trafficking, which originates in South America. Colombia, along with Peru and Bolivia, are the three biggest producers of cocaine in the world, and this narcotic is either transported through the Caribbean or Central America (i.e. via the infamous narco-submarines) to the U.S. market, or to West Africa (i.e. Guinea-Bissau, widely regarded as a narco-state), and from there to Europe. In Colombia, major trafficking entities are also threats to the government and society in general. These include the Fuerzas Armadas Revolucionarias de Colombia (FARC) and the Ejército de Liberación Nacional (ELN), two narco-insurgent movements that have waged an internal war to overthrow the Colombian government for decades.
Additionally, a wide number of suspected criminals have been arrested far away from their homeland. For example, in April 2013, members of the Italian ‘Ndrangheta mafia were arrested in Colombia. That same month, several Guinea-Bissau citizens (including the head of the navy) were arrested for allegedly being part of a drug smuggling ring between the West African nation and Colombia. Given these alliances among transnational criminal entities, it only stands to reason that governments, armed forces and law enforcement agencies should promote greater integration and cooperation amongst themselves to stand as a united front against these common transnational threats. In other words, this exchange of security information can only enhance Colombia’s internal security and its efforts to combat drug trafficking, which is not just Bogotá’s problem, but a global issue that affects both Europe and Colombia’s neighbors.
Finally, not only is Colombia a source of transnational problems that affect NATO states but it also historically has had NATO/Washington-friendly governments and highly-trained armed forces. U.S. involvement in Colombia dates back to the 1980s when U.S. security agencies aided the Colombian government in hunting down major drug traffickers like the infamous drug lord Pablo Escobar, head of the Medellin Cartel. In the 1990s, this cooperation was transformed into the Plan Colombia, an aid program via which Washington provided Colombia with billions of dollars (as well as controversial military training) to combat drug trafficking and narco-insurgency. In other words, Colombia has had Washington-friendly civilian leaders as well as armed forces that have been trained by the U.S. military over the past decades. This makes Colombia the obvious first choice in Latin America for a security agreement with NATO.
Therefore, another way to look at the Colombia-NATO agreement would be: what took the Alliance so long to sign this kind of treaty with a Latin American state?
Conclusions     
At the time of this writing, the Colombia-NATO agreement continues to await ratification by the Colombian Congress. The goal of the accord is to promote intelligence cooperation and military experience among the security agencies of this South American nation and the Atlantic Alliance. Moreover, this accord, while it is significant as it is the first of its kind with a Latin American nation, is not the first step towards a Colombian application for NATO membership. Nor have Bogotá and NATO established a partnership a la NATO-Australia. As the aforementioned June 2013 NATO press release explains “the Security of Information Agreement does not formally recognise Colombia as a NATO partner but constitutes a first step for future cooperation in the security field.”
Nevertheless, several Latin American nations have declared themselves in opposition to the Security of Information Agreement, arguing that this could promote greater influence and interference by NATO in Latin American affairs. This concern mostly originates from nations that have governments which have an anti-Washington (or “anti-imperialist,” to use their parlance) stance, such as Bolivia, Ecuador, and Venezuela. Moreover, even nations that have generally cordial relations with the U.S. and Europe, such as Brazil, have not supported the agreement between NATO and Colombia.
The fact that the Colombian Congress has yet to ratify the accord with NATO is interesting. It is debatable to what extent the concerns stemming from Caracas, Quito, La Paz or Brasilia are pressuring Colombian policymakers to reconsider the deal. But a more plausible reason is that the Colombian legislative, like the rest of the government, has other priorities nowadays, such as negotiations between Bogota and the FARC in Cuba, the country’s upcoming elections in May and the fallout from a bizarre military espionage scandal. In an off-the-record discussion with the author of this analysis, a retired Colombian military officer argued that Colombia’s slow bureaucracy is the prime reason why the agreement with NATO has not been ratified.
Ultimately, the NATO-Colombia security agreement should be analyzed by focusing on its objectives. Given that transnational criminal syndicates from Europe have a growing relationship with Colombian narco-criminal movements (i.e. the FARC), it is only natural that Colombia and NATO should promote a greater security-related relationship to combat these transnational security threats. It remains to be seen whether similar agreements between NATO and other Latin American states will happen in the near future.


Thursday, October 17, 2013

VOXXI:WHY DOES BOLIVIA’S MORALES BELIEVE THAT THE PACIFIC ALLIANCE IS A CONSPIRACY?


Why does Bolivia's Morales believe that the Pacific Alliance is a conspiracy?
W. Alejandro Sanchez
VOXXI
October 17, 2013
Originally published: http://voxxi.com/2013/10/17/evo-morales-pacific-alliance-conspiracy/


Bolivian President Evo Morales has declared his distrust of the Pacific Alliance and the U.S. government as a conspiracy created “desde el norte” (“from the north,” meaning Washington) to divide the Union of South American Nations (UNASUR), a regional bloc of all 12 South American countries created in 2008.
Morales’ declarations, while inflammatory, have become staples of the head of state, who regularly accuses the United States and Western powers of orchestrating some conspiracy to overthrow him.
Moreover, the head of state also recently argued that the United States could try to carry out a military operation against the ALBA bloc, the brainchild of the late Hugo Chavez, of which Bolivia is a member.
Nevertheless, to specifically target the Pacific Alliance as part of this conspiracy requires a discussion of Latin American geopolitics in 2013.
As previously mentioned, the Bolivian President’s recent statement centered on the Pacific Alliance being part of a U.S.-conspiracy to stall UNASUR’s integration efforts and divide it.
A main reason for this argument is that UNASUR has not had a secretary general since August, when the Venezuelan Ali Rodriguez stepped down from this post, as its member states cannot not agree on a successor.
From Morales’ point of view, it is the Pacific Alliance members that also belong to UNASUR that are holding up this process.
Furthermore, Morales claims that this is an example of “well-designed policies” that are being carried out so that UNASUR will not advance. Furthermore, during his declarations to the press, Morales argued that“a small group of UNASUR presidents is no longer interested in carrying out economic, cultural and social integration.”
He also addressed the Pacific Alliance by name, stating that its aim is to advance the goals of the Washington Consensus, which have had little progress since the ambitious Free Trade Agreement of the Americas failed to become a reality. Hence, from Morales’ perspective, Washington is utilizing the Pacific Alliance as some kind of geopolitical weapon in order to derail UNASUR’s integration projects.

The Pacific Alliance and UNASUR

In a VOXXI commentary on May 23, I explained that the Pacific Alliance is foremost an economic bloc that supports free trade among its members, not a political entity. Nevertheless, it should be noted that all of the members of the Alliance are U.S.-friendly nations: Chile, Colombia, Peru and Mexico.
In addition, Costa Rica has been accepted to become a new member and it also boasts a Washington-friendly government (exemplified by President Obama’s visit to San Jose in May).
Therefore, it is understandable that Morales recognizes that the aforementioned nations that object to UNASUR initiatives are also members of the Alliance, and because this bloc is known for having U.S.-friendly governments, then the U.S. may be somehow orchestrating UNASUR’s demise by using the Pacific Alliance as some kind of proxy.
The situation becomes more problematic as La Paz-Washington relations have been marred by diplomatic incidents during Morales’ presidency.
For example, this past May, the Bolivian president expelled USAID from Bolivia. Moreover, this past July, the Bolivian presidential plane, which was transporting Morales, was not authorized to fly over Spain; the aircraft was then forced to land in Austria.
The reason for this incident was that, according to Spanish authorities, Washington told Madrid that the NSA whistleblower Edward Snowden may have been hiding in Morales’ plane as he returned from a summit in Moscow.
On the other hand, to assume that Washington is the sole reason why South American nations cannot come together under the UNASUR umbrella (i.e. trying to agree on a new secretary general for the organization), is an oversimplification of South American geopolitics specifically and Latin American geopolitics as a whole.
The alphabet soup of different regional blocs that currently exist in South America has a mixed record of successes which can be “blamed” on a number of issues that do not revolve solely on the U.S.
For instance, MERCOSUR’s inertia can be blamed on Argentina’s protectionist economy, while the Andean Community’s stagnation can be blamed on a lack of interest by its decreasing number of members to carry out joint integration initiatives (though the Andean Community passports are a novel idea).
Moreover, even though the Community of Latin American and Caribbean States (CELAC), begun with great fanfare, little has happened to integrate its numerous members of two very different regions.
Nevertheless, the recent Declaration of Paramaribo (named after Suriname’s capital, where UNASUR held a summit this past August), provides examples of UNASUR members  having a common stance on issues like Argentina’s claim to the Falkland Islands and Ecuador’s dispute with the oil company Chevron.
Ergo, for President Morales to assume that certain UNASUR leaders are no longer interested in regional integration, or that the U.S. has (once again) the role of hemispheric puppeteer, is an overstatement.

Tuesday, October 8, 2013

COHA Opinion: LATIN AMERICA PUTS FORWARD A MIXED PICTURE ON THE USE OF DRONES IN THE REGION



Latin America puts forward a mixed picture on the use of Drones in the Region
W. Alejandro Sanchez
Council on Hemispheric Affairs - Opinion
October 8, 2013
Originally published: http://www.coha.org/latin-america-puts-forward-a-mixed-picture-on-the-use-of-drones-in-the-region/

Para una version en espanol, haga click aqui.

Over the past decade, a growing number of nations have been utilizing drones in their security operations. Most notably, the U.S. is using this new technology to target and eliminate suspected terrorists along the Pakistan-Afghanistan border.[1] So far, Latin American militaries have generally used drones for surveillance operations, but their role most likely will greatly expand in the near future.
Latin American countries that currently operate drones include Bolivia, Brazil, Colombia, Mexico, Peru and Venezuela. They are either home-built or have been purchased from other countries with a sophisticated drone industry like Israel; it is important to highlight that the international suppliers of this technology may vary depending with each government’s diplomatic relations and agenda operations. For example, the Colombian military has acquired drones from the U.S. and Israel, obviously benefiting from existing the close political relations among these governments.[2] On the other hand, Venezuela has turned to countries like Russia and Iran.[3] Additionally, countries like Brazil, Colombia and Peru are trying to fabricate their own home-made drones.[4] Thanks to increasingly cheaper technology, the cost of purchasing or domestically fabricating basic drones has become more affordable for regional armed forces. For example, media reports put Peru’s homegrown drones at costing $150,000 USD, while Brazil’s AGX drone system is roughly estimated at $35,000 USD.
Presently, Latin American drone usage is centered around patrol and surveillance operations, particularly for combating drug trafficking.[5] Their success rate varies widely so far, but drones are regarded as useful and (moderately) cheap, like those being used in other parts of the world. Moreover, drones have civilian applications as well. For example, in Peru, drones are used as an “eye in the sky” in archaeological and agricultural projects.[6]
However, it is only a matter of time (and adequate funds) before Latin American militaries decide to utilize drones for offensive operations within their own borders. Consider if the Peruvian army could use an armed drone if it obtained credible intelligence of where “José,” the nom de guerre of the leader of the insurgent movement Shining Path, is hiding in the Peruvian highlands.[7] Likewise, the Colombian military might use these weapons if it identified the location of leaders of its domestic narco-insurgent movements, the FARC and ELN. As a final example, the Mexican military may be tempted to use an armed drone to eliminate a high-profile target such as Joaquín “El Chapo” Guzmán, leader of the Sinaloa cartel (arguably, a better alternative to arresting him).[8] An obvious advantage of armed drones is that they are ready to act, as opposed to a time-costly and riskier military deployment.
Finally, it is worth stressing that such weapons are potentially problematic because they can escalate inter-state tensions. Inter-state warfare is rare in Latin America, but there have been incidents that could have ended in a conflict. For example, in 2008 Colombia carried out a successful military operation in Ecuador to eliminate Manuel Reyes, then-commander of the FARC, but the Colombian government did not inform Quito of the operation.[9] This was regarded as a violation of Ecuador’s sovereignty, which sparked tensions between Ecuador and its ally Venezuela against Colombia. Given this precedent, what would happen if Colombia deployed an armed drone into Ecuador for a strike against a suspected FARC commander? Or would Mexico use an armed drone within Guatemala if it suspected that a leader of the Zetas Cartel (which already has a presence there) was hiding right across the border?[10] What would be the repercussions of such incidents, particularly if civilians are killed?
Latin America has been successful at avoiding inter-state warfare throughout most of the past century. Today its security challenges are mostly internal and come from entities like narco-terrorist movements and drug cartels; in the case of Shining Path or FARC, these groups operate in isolated regions. Hence, drone technology is regarded as useful to find these guerrilla fighters and, given the (controversial) success of armed drones by countries like the U.S., it is only a matter of time before Latin American militaries decide to follow suit and utilize drones for search-and-destroy missions in the name of national security. [11] While the proliferation of drones may not be halted, it is necessary for Western military powers to keep in mind that they must lead by example when it comes to using drones, as this tactic sets the standard of how other nations will utilize them in the (very) near future.
 W. Alejandro Sanchez, Senior Research Fellow at the Council on Hemispheric Affairs
Please accept this article as a free contribution from COHA, but if re-posting, please afford authorial and institutional attribution. Exclusive rights can be negotiated.
References
[2] Declan Walsh and Ismail Khan, “U.S. Drone Strike Kills 6 In Pakistan, Fueling Anger,”  The New York Times, Global Edition, Asia-Pacific, September 6, 2013,http://www.nytimes.com/2013/09/07/world/asia/us-drone-strike-kills-6-in-pakistan-fueling-anger.html?_r=1&
[2] “Colombia compra mas drones, pero no a Estados Unidos,” El Tiempo, July 23, 2013, http://www.eltiempo.com/justicia/ARTICULO-WEB-NEW_NOTA_INTERIOR-12944442.html
[3]  Brian Ellsworth, “Venezuela says building drones with Iran’s help,” Reuters, June 14, 2013, http://www.reuters.com/article/2012/06/14/us-venezuela-iran-drone-idUSBRE85D14N20120614 and “Russia arms Chavez, Venezuela, with Drones and Rifles,” Associated Press /Fox News Latino, June 14, 2012,http://latino.foxnews.com/latino/news/2012/06/14/chavez-venezuela-making-drones-assembling-rifles/
[4] “ La Fuerza Aerea Boliviana presenta sus primeros UAVS,” Infodefensa, June 4,2013, http://www.infodefensa.com/?noticia=la-fuerza-aerea-boliviana-presenta-sus-primeros-uav-2 also seeTaylor Barnes, “Brazil’s Homeland Drones,” LatinTrade, October 18, 2011, http://latintrade.com/2011/10/brazil%E2%80%99s-homemade-drones also see, “Colombia to develop its own drone program to combat drug-trafficking, “ Fox News Latino, October 26, 2012,http://latino.foxnews.com/latino/news/2012/10/26/colombia-to-develop-its-own-drone-program-to-combat-drug-trafficking/ also see, “Conozca los drones peruanos, aviones no tripulados fabricados en Peru, “ Peru.com, July 12, 2012,http://peru.com/2012/07/12/actualidad/mi-ciudad/conozca-drones-peruanos-aviones-no-tripulados-fabricados-peru-noticia-74726
[6] “Peruanos amplian uso de ‘drones’ en arqueologia y agricultura,” Emol.com, August 10, 2013,http://www.emol.com/noticias/internacional/2013/08/10/613929/drones-surcan-cielos-de-peru-para-usos-en-arqueologia-y-agricultura.html
[7] Rene Zubieta, “Tras muerte de ‘Alipio’ y ‘Gabriel’: Que otros cabecillas tiene Sendero?” El Comercio (Peru), August 12, 2013,http://elcomercio.pe/actualidad/1616591/noticia-muerte-alipio-ygabriel-que-otros-cabecillas-tiene-sendero
[8] David Iaconangelo, “Joaquin ‘El Chapo’ Guzman tried to buy anti-aircraft missiles, weapons from U.S. citizens, says Justice Department,” Latin Times, August 7, 2013,http://www.latintimes.com/articles/7163/20130807/joaquin-chapo-guzman-missiles-cartel-atf-mexico.htm#.UlGuSc5Yu0w also see, W. Alejandro Sanchez “Could (Should) US eliminate El Chapo?” VOXXI. Commentary, August 20, 2012,http://wasanchez.blogspot.com/2012/08/voxxi-could-should-us-eliminate-el-chapo.html
[9] Sibylla Brodzinsky, “Colombia’s Cross-Border  strike on FARC irks neighbors,” The Christian Science Monitor, March 3, 2008,http://www.csmonitor.com/World/Americas/2008/0303/p04s02-woam.html
[10] Steven Dudley, “Guatemala’s New Narco-Map: Less Zetas, Same Chaos,”InsightCrime, September 16, 2013, http://www.insightcrime.org/news-analysis/guatemalas-new-narco-map-less-zetas-same-chaos
[11] John Reed, “Predator Drones Useless in most wars, top Air Force General says,”Foreign Policy, September 19, 2013,http://killerapps.foreignpolicy.com/posts/2013/09/19/predator_drones_useless_in_most_wars_top_air_force_general_says