Showing posts with label sica. Show all posts
Showing posts with label sica. Show all posts

Tuesday, May 7, 2013

VOXXI: President Obama ends visit to Mexico and Costa Rica without high profile agreements


President Obama ends visit to Mexico and Costa Rica without high profile agreements
W. Alejandro Sanchez
VOXXI
May 7, 2013
Originally published: http://www.voxxi.com/obama-ends-visit-mexico-costa-rica/


U.S. President Barack Obama has returned to Washington after a brief trip to Mexico and Costa Rica. During his trip to San Jose, he attended a meeting with the Central American heads of state. The trip, the first to the region after the U.S. leader was reelected last November, occurred with lots of fanfare, but very little to show for it.
Even though no pressing agreements were reached, Obama’s trip cannot be cataloged as a failure, since he received support from Mexican President Enrique Peña Nieto (EPN) for his proposals for immigration reform. Moreover, the trip to San Jose ended without any official declaration among the attending heads of state.

Mexico

Obama’s first stop on his mini tour of Latin America was Mexico, where he met with President EPN. The last time the two leaders met was in November 2012 when EPN traveled to Washington after winning his country’s July 2012 presidential election. The list of issues that were addressed, both publicly and behind closed doors, were fairly predictable. The two governments discussed increasing trade, energy deals, security issues, and immigration reform. Unfortunately for Obama, he did not go to Mexico with the U.S. Congress having ratified a 2012 hydrocarbons agreement. If he had done so, this would have been a crucial diplomatic victory, demonstrating Obama’s commitment to strengthening ties with Mexico under the EPN government.
On the other hand, EPN declared his support for Obama’s proposed immigration reform, which would provide undocumented immigrants the opportunity to legalize their status in the United States. The Mexican president’s public support for his U.S. counterpart’s plan is a diplomatic victory for the White House, even though  it does not have any political weight (i.e. EPN cannot vote in Obama’s favor in the U.S. congress),.
Finally, it is unsurprising that Obama made frequent reference to trade between the two countries, stating that “we are your largest customer buying the vast majority of Mexican exports. Mexico is the second largest market for U.S. exports.” The United States and Mexico, not just the governments but industries and population in general, are joined at the hip due to increasingly close ties between them, particularly after NAFTA came into effect two decades ago. If nothing else, the latest meetings between Obama and EPN show that any future bilateral relations will essentially be “business as usual.” We should keep in mind that Mexican presidencies last six years, which means that EPN will be in power throughout all of Obama’s second tenure as well as two years into the next U.S. president’s term. Hence, reassurances of stability (and even predictability) in bilateral ties are always a positive development.

Central America: Sizzle but no Steak?

As for Central America, Obama traveled to meet with regional heads of state, the first trip of a U.S. president to San Jose since President Bill Clinton. What may be most noteworthy about this stopover is what did not happen, namely the lack of an official resolution or agreement, there was no “Declaration of San Jose,” that the attending regional heads of state agreed upon. Nevertheless, the U.S. leader held plenty of meetings including one with some 200 Central American businessmen. Interestingly, one issue that was raised was the energy sector in Central America. The Costa Rican government reportedly wants the United States to sell it natural gas at a “precio domestico” (household prices, meaning cheaper), while President Ricardo Martinelli of Panama also lobbied for the use clean energy. Unsurprisingly, Martinelli also wants Washington to sell its natural gas at more competitive prices.
Arguably, the big winner of Obama’s trip to Central America was Costa Rican President Laura Chinchilla, who received a boost by organizing a generally successful, or at least unproblematic, summit. Obama certainly did her popularity a favor by stating that Costa Rica is a country that is ready to join the “club of rich countries.” Nevertheless, the Costa Rican media quickly put such praise in a more sober manner, stating that Washington may eventually support a Costa Rican candidacy for membership in the Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD); however, this will not happen yet, and maybe not even during Chinchilla’s presidential tenure.

Unmet Expectations?

Probably because Latin America has received so little attention during the first Obama presidency, there were unrealistic expectations of the issues that the U.S. leader could, or should have, addressed while in Latin America. Such expectations included Obama discussing the future of the embargo on Cuba, the closure of the detention center in Guantanamo Bay, or maybe even a word about the trial of former Guatemalan strongman, Efrain Rios Montt.
In addition, President Obama did not, at least publicly, discuss the outcome of the April 14 elections in Venezuela and the controversial victory of President Nicolas Maduro. The U.S. government has been reluctant to recognize Maduro’s victory, while close friends of the late Hugo Chavez, such as Bolivian President Evo Morales, have declared that they were “convinced” that Washington wanted to stage a coup in Venezuela to overthrow Maduro. Speaking of Bolivia, President Morales also recently closed the USAID  office in Bolivia, an issue that was also not publicly mentioned by Obama.
Nevertheless, Obama did take a moment to say that it was “ridiculous” to think that U.S. citizen Timothy Tracy, who was recently arrested in Venezuela, was a spy for the U.S. government. Caracas has accused Tracy of encouraging protests by students after the April elections. Unsurprisingly, Maduro responded to Obama’s statements in a very Chavez-esque way, declaring that, “there’s now no doubt that Obama himself, as the puppet of that imperial power, is behind the financing in dollars of this right wing that wants to mess with and destroy Venezuela’s democracy.” It is debatable if the latest divide between Caracas and Washington will grow in the comings weeks. Nevertheless, it seems that any hope there was that a post-Chavez Venezuela would signal improved relations with Washington, now appears to be quickly disappearing.

Tuesday, April 2, 2013

VOXXI - President Barack Obama to visit Mexico and Costa Rica in May


President Barack Obama to visit Mexico and Costa Rica in May
W. Alejandro Sanchez
VOXXI
April 2, 2013
Originally posted: http://www.voxxi.com/barack-obama-mexico-costa-rica-in-may/

On May 2-4, President Barack Obama will carry out a mini-tour of Latin America, in which he will visit Mexico and Costa Rica. During his brief stopover in San Jose, he will take part in a summit of Central American presidents, as part of SICA (the Central American Integration System). Expected topics of discussion between Obama and his Latin American counterparts include immigration, natural disaster relief efforts, and citizen security.

Mexico

President Obama first met with Mexican President Enrique Peña Nieto (EPN), in late November 2012. Even though EPN was only inaugurated in December 2012, he is expected to fill the region’s leadership void created by the recent passing of Venezuelan President Hugo Chavez (Brazil’s regional hegemony
notwithstanding). Mexican presidencies last for six years, so EPN has plenty of time to expand his country’s influence.
During the first months of EPN’s presidency, relations between Mexico City and Washington have remained stable. For example, in March of this year, the U.S. military reached a deal with the Mexican navy in which the latter will receive two decommissioned U.S. frigates. Furthermore, on March 28 Assistant Secretary of State for the Bureau of International Narcotics William Brownfield declared that during Obama’s stopover in Mexico City, the U.S. leader will likely declare his support for EPN’s strategy to combat drug trafficking. In other words, the Obama-EPN relationship will remain business as usual.
On the subject of trade, the two governments signed the “Transboundary Hydrocarbons Agreement” (THA) in 2012 (during the presidency of Felipe Calderon). The agreement aims to develop “oil and gas reservoirs that cross the international maritime boundary between the two countries.” Nevertheless, this accord has yet to be ratified by the U.S., and it is unlikely that this will happen before Obama’s trip to Mexico City. It is also worthy to note that the White House is promoting the creation of the Trans Pacific Partnership (TPP). The TPP’s goal is to create a free trade area between Pacific economic powerhouses (such as México, Perú, and Chile) and countries like Australia and Singapore. President Peña Nieto will meet with Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe on April 8 as Tokyo lobbies to join the TPP. It will be interesting to see if EPN discusses the possibility of Japanese membership in this potential trade bloc when he meets with Obama.
One issue to watch out for regarding the Obama-EPN meeting has to do with migration of Mexican citizens to the U.S. Currently the White House, as well as the Democrat and Republican political parties, seem to agree that some kind of progressive immigration reform is needed. Considering that the Mexican citizens that work in the U.S. send money back to their families in Mexico, contributing to the Mexican economy, EPN will likely praise any reform that allows his citizens to legally stay in the U.S.

Costa Rica – SICA

The second stop on Barack Obama’s tour will be Costa Rica, where he will attend a summit with Central American and the Dominican Republic’s heads of state. It is expected that SICA member states will request greater U.S. financial and military cooperation to combat the drug trafficking that is expanding in the region via transnational organizations, such as the Zetas and Sinaloa cartels from Mexico or FARC guerillas from Colombia. The meeting comes soon after the arrest of a major Zeta leader in Nicaragua (along with several of his henchmen), in an operation in which Nicaraguan security forces received Russian assistance. U.S. Ambassador to Nicaragua Phyllis Power has stated that the U.S. government and DEA see Russian involvement in Central America as “complementary” to their efforts to combat drug trafficking. It will be interesting to see if Obama addresses this issue.
Moreover, the Costa Rican newspaper La Nacion published an article on March 28 explaining that the last time a U.S. head of state visited Costa Rica was President Bill Clinton in 1997, while he was promoting the ratification of CAFTA-DR. No particularly critical U.S.-Central America trade accords are currently in the works, but further commercial initiatives are constantly being sought out. For example, the U.S. Department of Commerce, the Foreign Commercial Service as well as other federal agencies are organizing a trade delegation that will travel to Costa Rica this upcoming July. The delegation will attend “an Americas focused business conference consisting of regional and industry specific conference sessions as well as pre-arranged consultations with USFCS Commercial Officers.”
It is noteworthy to stress that the SICA summit will take place in Costa Rica, whose President Laura Chinchilla was labeled in 2012 as the most unpopular head of state in Latin America. A successful SICA summit and meeting with Obama would be a huge diplomatic victory for Chinchilla, especially if she secures agreements between the U.S. and Costa Rica. Likewise, it will be interesting to see if, during the meeting, Chinchilla raises the issue of Costa Rica’s territorial dispute with Nicaragua. In regards to this issue, it is uncertain if Barack Obama will meet with Nicaraguan President Daniel Ortega (a faithful Chavez supporter and a U.S. foe during the Cold War). For such a small region, Obama may be walking into a diplomatic mine field.

Placing the Trip In Context

Obama’s upcoming trip to the region will be the first since his re-election last November. There has been concern among Latin American scholars that the region will receive little attention during Obama’s second presidential term. This concern has stemmed from Obama’s lack of a comprehensive policy toward the Western Hemisphere during his first term. Hence, these trips are diplomatically necessary, even more so as they will address regional issues that have a direct effect on U.S. domestic affairs, namely the migration of Latin Americans to the U.S. as well as drug trafficking from South America to the U.S. and Europe, with Central America being utilized as a narco-corridor.
Finally, it is worthy to mention not just the countries that Obama will visit, but the ones he won’t. Namely, the U.S. leader won’t visit Colombian President Juan Manuel Santos, a key U.S. ally. Likewise, Obama will not pay a visit to rising superstar Brazil (President Dilma Rousseff attended the BRICS nations’ Fifth Summit last month in South Africa).
In any case, for a trip that is scheduled to last only two days, President Obama will have his hands full with a plethora of issues to address.

Read more: http://www.voxxi.com/barack-obama-mexico-costa-rica-in-may/#ixzz2PJSJ9RgN